Men Named Paul, Retail Sales Stats, Digging out of the Deficit

This week’s updates include a fun U.S. road trip map for finding perfect weather every day of the year, a surprising look at consumers and service spending, and a study on our confidence in privacy and security.
Current unemployment rates vs. recession max rates via Calculated Risk:

state unemployment rate

From City Lab, a 365-day road trip map for enjoying perfect weather every day:
road trip
Are Americans really consuming more services?
Is the rental market tight or not?
Housing starts are up significantly over last year:

housing starts

 
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac currently operate without any reserves. Some senators are worried.
Three U.S. economic specialists are optimistic despite jumpy markets.
The Urban Land Institute semiannual forecast and survey.
Do immigrants displace U.S.-born workers or not? Supporting charts:
immigration

and

native workers
 
A geophysicist sets the probability of a big L.A. earthquake in the next three years at 99.9%.
Doctors are writing prescriptions for… parks as the scientific evidence for the health benefits green spaces grows.
30 things Back to the Future II got right – and wrong.
Got confidence?
confidence
 
 

Reading in decline:

book
 
The deficit by the numbers:

digging out

.

The risk of terrorism:

terrorism

 
Which kinds of retail sales are up because we are spending less on gasoline:
retail sales
 
Candy inflation.
Hedge funds are a man’s game.

name

 
Harvard finally tops the list.
mba

Offshore Shell Games, 2016 Tax Brackets, Border Fence Support Stats

Stock market volatility is normal this time of year:

sandp

The temptation to cut income taxes and raise sales taxes could leave states less prepared for an economic downturn.
Where the presidential candidates are buying media (they know NV’s caucus follows the NH primary and IA caucus, right??)

ads

A comprehensive and revealing report on offshore shell games. Chart:

havens

Source: Citizens for Tax Justice

Which corporations are achieving the lowest implied tax rates (note #2 on the list):

taxhaven2

Source: Citizens for Tax Justice

Speaking of taxes….

bracket

 
Are we already in another big housing bubble?
Residential mortgage app stats:

mortgages

Point of pride:  Worth Magazine has named HighTower’s CEO one of the 100 most powerful people in global finance.
After seeing this, we will never complain about traffic on U.S. freeways again.
Got ammo?

ammosales

Got skills?
skills
 
Danny Meyer, one of America’s most successful restaurateurs is doing away with tipping.
Why America’s debt to China isn’t the problem many think it is.
Who earns minimum wage?

wage

The savviest savers and investors, by state.
Thirsty concrete.
Where are our Latinos working?

latinos

Who wants what re: a U.S.-Mexico border fence:
fence
 
Construction job stats:

construction

Obscure yet powerful jobs in local and state government.
Recent mass shootings time line.
History of tech buyouts:
tech
From Pew Research, religious organization by age of its members:

age

 

Laying Odds on the Fed, Prime Working Age Stats, Mega Tech

From Pew, an analysis of national and state trends and actions related to U.S. immigration.
The following two Pew maps compare the 1980 and 2012 numbers of foreign-born residents:

FB mapforeign

Source: Pew Charitable Trusts

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke chimes in on raising interest rates, 

Our prime working age population peaked in 2007, and bottomed at the end of 2012. Here are the stats.
And a chart:

primeage

The CoreLogic House Price Index (a three month weighted average, not seasonally adjusted) has the latest stats on home prices nationwide, including distressed sales.
A nice graph showing all the CoreLogic HPI data since 1976:

core logic

Two trends that could move the needle for REITs.
The Voter Elections Project is out with updated turnout rates by age and ethnicity.
An interesting article (and stats) on whether the U.S. Navy is too small.
These are the fifteen most powerful tech companies in America.
Good news on poverty from Bloomberg Business:

poor

Fattest States, Richest Billionaires and Biggest-Earning Toll Roads

Forbes 400 list ranks America’s billionaires. The cut off for this year’s list was $1.7 billion so 145 slacker billionaires didn’t make the cut.
American spending on these three items is revealing.
Meanwhile, U.S. manufacturing may be in real trouble.
People with this type of personality are more likely to become entrepreneurs:

selfemployment

Source: Business Insider

Find out which personality type you are. (Free version available here.)

Pew asked Americans what effect immigrants are having on our culture:

immigrants

Pew projects that Asians will become the largest immigrant group in the U.S. by 2055:
asians
On the road again…

traffic

U.S. household net worth has never been higher:
networth
Case-Shiller National House Price Index (July) is up.

caseshiller

Source:  www.calculatedriskblog.com

This Wildlife-Urban interface map shows where human development is closest to nature:

wildland

Source:  City Lab

The nation’s top-earning toll road agencies:

america'stopearning

Source:  www.statista.com

Obesity by state:

fattest

Apollo supermoon pics.

Stats on Papal Visits, Rising Health Insurance Deductibles, First Time Homebuyer Riskiness, Organic Food Sales, and More

An unsurprising trend:
construction
The typical male U.S. worker earned less in 2014 than in 1973, measured in 2014 dollars.
earnings
Mississippi sells debt backed by gambling tax as their casinos falter.
An animated transition photo set showing Lake Powell from 1991 through 2015 plus other stunning Powell photos.
The past papal visit attendance stats are impressive.
Is Pope Francis a progressive?
Catholic population map:
catholic
The child poverty rate remains flat nationwide:
poverty

Source:  The Annie C. Casey Foundation

States with the largest declines and increases:
stat poverty

 Source:  The Annie C. Casey Foundation

Increasing health insurance deductibles are outpacing average wage increases. Like so:
deductibles
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) is out with a report comparing the Department of Commerce’s projections for federal receipts and expenditures (aka the sum total of the National Income and Product Accounts or NIPAs) with the Office of Management and Budget’s (OMB) baseline projections for the federal budget from 2015 through 2025. Conceptual and accounting method differences usually cause the NIPAs to be greater in revenues than the budget by about 5% and greater in expenditures by about 8%. The bottom line in this new CBO report? 1. Projected expenditures in the combined NIPAs exceed projected receipts by $9.4 trillion. 2. Deficits in the CBO’s baseline budget projections total $7.4 trillion.
In related news, the riskiness of first-time buyer mortgages rose again in August.
In a long form piece well worth your time, Wharton Knowledge tries to get inside the head(s) of the Fed.
Organic food sales are way, way up.
Resource alert! From the Dept. of the Treasury, daily real yield curve rates.

Fed Shies Away from Rate Hike, New Census Bureau Stats, North American Freight and Manufacturing Data, and More

The Fed has shied away from a rate hike, opting for the status quo.
Market reaction to the Fed’s decision in five charts.
U of M has released its August consumer surveys.
The U.S. Census Bureau has released its annual reports on income, poverty, and health insurance coverage.
Median household income (in 2014 dollars) since 1967:
income
And by ethnicity over the last 15 years:
Race and Ethnicity

Source:  CityLab at The Atlantic

A new 3-D model of the world offers Earth exploration via clicks.
You’re probably throwing away $1,500 in wasted food each year. Here are four tips for changing that.
Great data on North American freight volumes and expenditures.
Judgmental city maps by an Austin comedian. (NYC is our favorite.)
What started out as a TED talk by a precocious 18-year-old has turned into a now-being-built 62-mile long trash catching system in the Pacific Ocean.
Google Fiber (aka 1,000 megabits per second) is coming to three more cities. Vegas ain’t one of ‘em.
CityLab has mapped the difference between minimum wage and cost of living in every county in the U.S.
They’ve also mapped the hourly wage needed to rent a 2-bedroom apartment in every state:
wages

Source:  CityLab at The Atlantic

The ten colleges where students owe the most money and other student loan debt stats.
A thought piece on how university adjuncts are paid.
Six great city Instagram accounts to follow.
ICYMI Jeb Bush wants to cap the mortgage interest deduction and eliminate the deduction for state and local real estate taxes.
Three hot trends in commercial real estate development.

Amazing U.S. Stats, Graphs and Maps

U.S. tax revenue, vehicle sales stats, hate groups, hurricanes, houses, colleges, and more. This week’s links are worth a glance.
The federal government is bringing in more tax revenue than ever. Click to find out where it’s coming from compared to past decades.
A wonderfully creative insider’s map of NYC.
U.S. vehicle sales are as strong as they’ve been in nine years.

sales

Where does our electric energy come from?
Great images of the three hurricanes that hit the Pacific last week.
Businesses owned by women, minorities, lag in revenue via Pew.
What do Americans really want when it comes to illegal immigration?
Five facts about America’s K-12 students.
Can a new gadget stop teens from texting while driving?
If they survive texting and driving, where should they go to college?

colleges

 
Mortgage applications drop. Again. Meanwhile the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage went up.
How much house can America’s middle class afford? Charts galore.
Warren Buffett is lukewarm on the U.S. economy.
U.S. economic stats at a glance.
Where do you fall?

money

heat map/hate map of the 784 hate groups designated by the Southern Poverty Law Center.

The Atlantic’s always-worthy photos of the week.

American Income at a Glance, Net Worth of White House Hopefuls, and Our Most Affordable Cities

The net worth of the presidential candidates.
These child poverty stats from CityLab are disturbing.
U.S. oil rig count rises for sixth straight week. Historical stats:
oil
The Atlantic’s video page is a treasure trove of interesting information.
Why millennials aren’t forming new households.
The super annoying things you do at restaurants according to those who serve you.
A typical American life, week by week (via CityLab).
The gentrification (and related displacement) of San Francisco.
Adult playgrounds in San Francisco.
Frightening piece on how new cars can be remotely hacked and controlled.
Which cities are most hostile to their tourists?
Our twenty hottest housing markets.
History = perspective.
corrections
The emotional phases of the stock market:
stock market
85 years of rising and falling American income in 25 seconds.
Where do college graduates work?  Very cool graphic based on college majors.
Construction is one of the strongest parts of the economy right now.
Best states for seniors.
Where American families get by on less than $60K:
towns

Don’t Cry For Us Argentina, Our Market Correction Was Long Past Due

Rejoice! This recent market correction is healthy and not unexpected.
rejoice
Source:  Money Magazine
 
Immigrant job stats:

job

 
The top 1% holds 63% of U.S. business equity. The bottom 90% holds 6%:
owner
 
Mapping America’s westward population march (1790 – 2010).
This salaries in real-time infographic is pretty coolCityLab helpfully ran some real people through it, showing how much they earn per second and what that means to their buying power:
income

Crude Oil Prices Plummet, Fed’s Big Moment Approaches, Surprising Job Sector Stats, Beer Demographics, and More

U.S. crude oil prices fall almost $40/barrel, the lowest level since 2009.
Where we get our oil:

texas tea

The Fed’s interest rate hike decision is down to the wire.
The U.S. Travel and Tourism sector supports more jobs than the automotive manufacturing, banking, and mining sectors combined.
Visitors to U.S. and outbound Americans, by the numbers:

get out of town

The second graph on this page breaks down the above graph by nation.
States are competing for military retirees, including exempting military pensions from taxation.
The geography of America’s beer preferences.
The slow climb:
unusu recovery
From Lab Rat Revenge, a series of maps that look at poverty – including the “newly poor” in America’s cities.
A fascinating interactive graph showing emissions by state and sector.
Interesting:

senior households